The land scape

This past weeks primary results from across the country have been interesting to watch. Take the special election to replace the late John Murtha in Pennsylvnia's CD-12. This seat is an old Rust Belt seat an area of Pennsylvania that is very blue collar and a district in which the voters in it like their Pork projects. But the real story was that the Republicans ran a national campaign and the democrat ran a local campaign, remember all politics is local. The Democrats won the seat going away by double digits, when the Republicans should have cleaned the democrats clock. NRCC chairman Rep. Pete Sessions has already taken full responsibility for the loss. Republicans will pick off many democrats in the 2010 mid-term elections thats just the current environment. The Republicans cannot run on being republican because the republican brand is still damaged and not all that popular. The Republican party needs to make sure they run local campaigns especially in the house if you have a candidate for the house that matches the people of the district you have a great chance to win the seat. I still believe that the house may flip or have a razor thin democrat majority, the Senate I don't see the math for republicans to take back the Senate this election cycle.

The Primary

Well, we missed the State Treasurers race won by Don Stenberg and he will go on to face Mark Stoj which he will roll. The most interesting results came from the legislative races, in District 40 which is Cap Dierks seat. Dierks is looking for a third term but he came in second in the voting to Tyson Larson which means Cap Dierks has an uphill race on his hands. Dierks won Holt County which is his home base but Larson won Pierce County his home. If all other parts of district 40 break even Dierks will be replaced by Larson. Larson did not win by a large margin he only won by 236 votes if Larson receives the majority of the votes that went to Adam Dea who received 259 votes and finds some other votes throughout the district he will unseat Cap Dierks. This race will be very interesting to watch how it plays out and the themes that develop within it.

Sour Grapes

It seems as if Governor Dave Heineman's primary challenger Christopher Geary has issues with Nebraska Right to Life. They recently endorsed the Governor over Mr.Geary which it does not seem sets well with Mr.Geary and because Nebraska Right to Life did not endorse Mr.Geary they are now apparently not Pro-life enough for Mr.Geary interesting I wonder if Mr.Geary would have turned down the endorsement completely anyway since Nebraska Right to Life is not sufficiently Pro-life enough for Mr.Geary. Let me explain it to Mr.Geary, Dave Heineman is going to win he is an excellent Governor and understands how all of Nebraska works. Mr.Geary only until recently was absolutely opposed to ethanol production and the use of it, yeah that sounds like a candidate that understands the fact that the Agriculture industry is #1 in this state. Mr.Geary needs to go back to his dojo and play with his belts leave campaigning and running for office to the Grown ups after next Tuesday it will be Heineman wins with at least 75%.

Almost Primary Time

The primary is May 11th a week from today, and the only interesting race really is the Treasurer's race. With 29 State Senators backing Tony Fulton I think has the inside edge even though the Governor is staying out of it the members of the unicameral are not. Even then the voters may dissolve the Treasurers office but thats not likely to happen I don't believe. Lee Terry will probably walk to renomination over the party water carrier Matt Sakalosky. The District 4 race for Public Service Commission is a fight between republican candidates but look for incumbent Rod Johnson to be re-elected again to another 6 year term. Rep. Jeff Fortenberry is fending off two other republicans and four democrats are running to replace him. It won't happen Fortenberry will return to Congress for a fourth term.